Hmm, I’m not sure. He must know that Labour are only offering electoral reform to try and get them on side, and it’s really not going to be easy to push through. On the other hand though, Conservative aren’t offering it at all.
It has crossed my mind that Cameron might try and broker a deal with SNP/Plaid Cymru but I don’t know how many seats they hold.
I AM SO TIRED!
Realistically speaking, SNP and Plaid Cymru aren’t going to do much more than make up the numbers to squeeze past. Whilst they’ll get some token reforms and bills passed in their direction, they’ll never properly hold any power. They’d be arguing from a position of making up numbers, not of “seriously, you guys would be fucked without us”.
In terms of bums on seats, the Lib Dems hold all the power. Whoever finally makes it NEEDS the Lib Dems to hold an all out, defining majority. They’re the only viable (ie. not minority) swing party going. They’re the only party left who has the clout (and policy ambiguity) to legitimately hold sway over proceedings. It’ll be an interesting few years if nothing else.
Yeah the reason for Cameron joining with SNP and Plaid Cymru would purely be to make up the numbers. It might just get them the 326, while Labour wouldn’t have a chance. And because of that, Cameron could offer some token things - far less than he’d have to offer the Lib Dems, but effectively maintain a fully Conservative government. Which is good for him, of course.
Far from being the Kingmakers, Lib Dems are, unfortunately, pretty much fucked. Given that the thing they want most - electoral reform - is *not* wanted by either Conservative or Labour, even if one of them did put a bill forward as a result of a deal, the chances of it going through are almost non-existent. Nick Clegg won’t want to align himself with the party that’s been in power for the last 13 years and pissed everyone off, but the thought of a Con-Lib coalition just seems ridiculous.
I have no idea what’s going to happen. I’m pretty sure it won’t last though. I think we’ll see another general election within 2 years.